Unlike Mitt Romney, I am not a betting man. But if I were, I might go to Intrade right now and bet a bundle that Ron Paul will win the New Hampshire primary. The bettors there give that an 8.2 percent chance of happening, which would make for a pretty good payday.Ron Paul can win New Hampshire because he can win the Iowa caucuses. (Intraders think that's unlikely but not implausible, giving Paul's Iowa victory a 32.5 percent chance.) New Hampshirites have never felt it necessary to follow the Iowa caucus-goers, but the dynamics of the race make their state a likely second pickup.If...
Source: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2011/12/19/can_ron_paul_win_new_hampshire_112436.html
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